← Selected Writing

How To Beat The Startup Failure Odds

The startup playbook is broken. Here's how to fix it.

The contrast is shocking, and once you see it, you can't unsee it.

50% of new businesses succeed, but 90% of startups fail.

Here's how you can skew the odds in your favor:

  • Full Ownership > Crowded Cap Tables

Resist partnering with people just because they offer capital.

Full control gives you the freedom to grow smarter.

  • Cash Flow > Valuations

It doesn’t matter how many digits are in your company’s valuation.

What matters is the bank account you have to weather market storms.

Focus on the latter.

  • Money in Your Pocket > In Your Investors'

A smaller pie you fully own is more rewarding than a sliver of a large one.

Make your own pie.

  • Sustainable Revenue > Vanity Metrics

Focus on income that keeps your business afloat over impressive numbers that don't pay the bills.

  • Self-Funding > Cash Burning

Control your destiny by running your business on your own terms.

Not everyone can do it, but if it’s possible, it’s empowering.

  • Established Markets > Shiny New Things

Trends come and go, don't chase the next one.

Instead, invest where the customers already are.

  • Lean Team > Bulky Orgs

Prioritize revenue per team member over a large headcount.

A lean team is more productive and cost-effective.

If we all run our startups as traditional businesses, we might just see those failure rates plummet.

I know I am doing my part. Are you?

Dispatches

New writing, sent when it's ready.

The website is the selected archive. Current notes and essays go out on Substack.

Read on Substack